Czar’s Season Update
Fratello’s Fantasy Picks
As NBA teams prepare for the 2013-14 season to tip off on Tuesday, October 29, fantasy leagues are holding their annual drafts. Regardless of the scoring format, fantasy GMs who do the most effective job of projecting and analyzing player production and value will come out on top at the end of 82. Everyone knows that superstars like LeBron, Durant and Chris Paul will put up monster fantasy numbers almost every night, but rounding out fantasy rosters takes skill. Here are five lower-profile players who should provide high returns at each spot on the court.
PG – Mike Conley
Mike Conley is entering his 7th NBA season with Memphis. Although a dynamic 1-guard on a playoff team, Conley is often ranked behind other PGs. Last season Conley played in 80 games and averaged 14.6 ppg, 6.1 apg, 2.8 rpg and 2.2 spg. He shot 83% from the line and hit 1.3 3-bombs per game. Conley posted season-highs of 26 points, 15 dimes, 7 boards (2X) and 6 steals. And he rarely lost the rock, averaging just 2.4 turnovers per contest. Conley’s a consistent producer who can fill up a stat sheet.
SG – Evan Turner
6’7″ swingman Evan Turner played in all 82 games last season for Philly, averaging 35.3 minutes per game. He put up solid numbers on a shaky squad, loading the stat sheet with 13.3 ppg, 6.3 rpg, 4.3 apg and .9 spg in his 2012-13 campaign. Turner posted season-highs of 27 points, 13 boards (2X), 9 dimes (3X) and 4 steals. In his fourth year Turner will be asked to lead Philadelphia’s exceptionally young roster, so he’ll get a lot of opportunities to step up and produce as the Sixers rebuild.
SF – Maurice Harkless
20-year-old Moe Harkless enters his sophomore season after working hard all summer on the deficiencies in his game. The native New Yorker’s pro career set sail on Orlando’s sinking ship. Although at times Harkless looked a step behind on the court, the rookie’s numbers and minutes increased month by month, and his scoring peaked in April. For the year he averaged 8.2 ppg, 4.4 rpg and 1.2 spg in 26 mpg. He posted season-highs of 28 points, 14 boards and 6 steals. Harkless has a huge upside and will slowly but surely raise his game and averages.
PF – Derrick Favors
The solidly built 6’10” Derrick Favors was selected 3rd overall in the 2010 Draft after one season at Georgia Tech. With the departures of Al Jefferson and Paul Millsap in the offseason, Favors will get more run than the 23.2 mpg he averaged in Utah last year. In 77 games he averaged career-bests of 9.4 ppg, 7.1 rpg, 1.7 bpg and 0.9 spg. He posted season-highs of 23 points, 15 boards (2X) and 6 blocks (2X). Favors won’t be a sleeper for long so scoop him up in the draft before he fully unleashes on the league.
C – Jonas Valanciunas
Jonas Valanciunas is another big man who won’t stay under the radar for long. He’s only 21, but started playing pro ball in Europe in 2008. The 7-foot Lithuanian was drafted 5th overall in 2011, but didn’t make his NBA debut until last season. He averaged 8.9 ppg, 6 rpg and 1.3 bog for the Raptors and shot 79% from the charity stripe and 56% from the field. Valanciunas came on at the end of the season averaging 14.9 points and 2.4 blocks in seven April games. He is poised and possesses a solid skill set. As long as Valanciunas stays healthy he’ll start owning the paint and will become a primary scoring option for Toronto.
Fratello’s Fantasy Pick: Evan Turner
The Philadelphia 76ers currently sit in fourth place in the Eastern Conference and lead the Atlantic Division. Basketball fans in the City of Brotherly Love are amped for a strong finish to the regular season and a meaningful playoff run after an impressive first-round exit courtesy of the Heatles in 2011.
SG/SF Evan Turner was inserted into coach Doug Collins’ starting lineup last week, and his numbers have exploded. Turner was the 2nd overall pick out of Ohio State in the 2010 NBA Draft. After struggling to adjust to the intense, super-speed, pro-level game in his rookie season, the 6’7” Buckeye and 2010 National Collegiate Player of The Year has seemingly found his groove.
In his rookie year Turner averaged 23 minutes per game, 7.2 ppg, 3.9 rpg and 2 apg. This compacted season, he’s averaging 25.6 minutes per game, 9 ppg, 6.1 rpg and 2.7 apg. However, Turner put up serious ‘growth’ numbers in Philly’s nine March contests: 13.1 ppg, 8.3 rpg and 3.1 apg in 33.1 minutes. Even better, in his last six games Turner has improved to 17.6 ppg, 9.1 rpg, 3.5 apg and 37.5 minutes per game.
Obviously, Coach Collins and Turner’s teammates have developed more trust and confidence in the 2nd-year wing player, and he is taking full advantage of his opportunity. Turner’s on-court production is finally catching up to his high basketball IQ. And after receiving a lot of flack (as did the 76ers organization) for his lack of numbers last season, Turner has ‘turned’ the corner and become a player you have to account for in transition and in half-court sets.
Look for Evan Turner’s numbers and fantasy value to continue on an upward trajectory now that he is a no-doubt, full-time starter for the first time in his burgeoning career.
Czar’s 2010-11 Season Preview: Rookie of the Year
It’s always exciting to watch the new kids on the court seize their opportunities to shine while shaping up into future stars. The top five 2010 NBA draft picks John Wall, Evan Turner, Derrick Favors, Wesley Johnson and DeMarcus Cousins are all tremendously talented athletes who possess the potential to achieve greatness at the pro level.
And the upcoming season is bound to bring other rookies to the fore just as we saw so many young leaders emerge and far exceed our expectations last year. Who will top the Freshman heap once the dust settles?