Fratello’s Fantasy Picks: Beyond the Draft

The NBA season is a long one and player values fluctuate throughout. Put these guys on your Fantasy watch list and see how their numbers are adding up when it comes time to tweak your roster and bolster your reserves down the line.

Taj Gibson  (Bulls – PF)

Taj Gibson is so important to Chicago right now because of the injury to Boozer, and he will play significant minutes until Boozer comes back.

Whether starting at the four position or coming off the bench, Gibson did a solid job for the Bulls last year and was named to the NBA All-Rookie First Team. Gibson put up 18 double doubles and showed he can rebound the ball, averaging 7.5 boards per game. Now the Bulls need him to step up his level of play as his offensive game continues to grow and develop.

Gibson has a toughness about him, and Tom Thibodeau likes tough-minded players. With a new coach to impress I expect Gibson to work hard to make significant contributions in order to keep up his minutes as the season progresses.

Jonny Flynn (Timberwolves – PG)

Last year’s sixth overall draft pick Jonny Flynn will be sidelined for the start of the season due to a hip injury that required him to undergo surgery in July.

The Wolves picked up veteran Luke Ridnour to fill in for Flynn during his absence. And though Ridnour will challenge him for the starting point guard position, Flynn will likely run the show once he returns to full health.

Flynn exhibits a tremendous passion for the game. While undersized, Flynn possesses strength, athleticism and quickness.

An explosive scorer off the dribble, Flynn’s first instinct is to light up the scoreboard. But the above-average passer has two great low posts to dish to in Michael Beasley and Kevin Love. I expect these guys to get results as the Timberwolves look to drastically improve upon last season’s record.

Steve Blake (Lakers – PG)

Steve Blake was an excellent pickup for the Lakers after their reserve guard Jordan Farmar shipped East upon signing a three-year deal with the New Jersey Nets.

Blake can make an open shot, and it is so important for the point guard to be a spot-up shooter to be effective within Phil Jackson’s triangle offense. Rather than relying on speed and quickness, the triangle offense requires getting to certain spots and being able to make a shot after running cuts. Blake can do that – he can hit the open three.

Blake’s minutes will likely fluctuate. But because of his age, Blake can play significant minutes if Phil needs him in order to save Derek Fisher for the back stretch and the playoffs when the Lakers need him most.

J.J. Redick (Orlando – SG)

Entering his fifth year with the Magic, J.J. Redick has gotten better and better each of the last three seasons. A great free throw shooter with unlimited range, Redick went from being a guy who really struggled during his rookie year to someone who appears to be playing with big confidence.

In turn Stan Van Gundy has gained more confidence in Redick and his minutes have increased accordingly. Redick is a terrific shooter; he’s got toughness, and he figured out how he can play and be a contributor on an NBA club.

Stan continues to take stock in Redick, as evidenced by the three-year deal Redick signed prior to the start of the season, reportedly worth $20.19 million. Redick should continue to improve as both a shooter and a defender.

Joel Przybilla (Trail Blazers – C)

Though Joel Przybilla will not rejoin the Trail Blazers’ bench until November when he recovers from the ruptured patella tendon that ended his season last year, he could become valuable soon after his return because center Greg Oden will likely be out until at least  mid-December.

Przybilla is a very serviceable center who will give you good minutes. An effective screener, Przybilla allows Portland to get high percentage shots on offense. He also creates a number of second shot opportunities because of his rebounding skills. Last season Przybilla was a productive rebounder and shot blocker who effectively covered the front of the rim.

These are Przybilla’s strengths, so if you’re looking for a boost in these boxes he could be an asset. Anything he gives you offensively is gravy.

Fratello’s Fantasy Picks: 2010 Fantasy Draft

Statistics may not lie, but they cannot predict the future. They merely enable us to make our best educated guesses. Even with the most exacting analysis of player stats from years past there is no way to guarantee the assembly of a winning team – anything can happen. That’s what keeps both real and fantasy sports so exciting.

Think about grabbing these guys a little earlier than you may have planned because they look to be underrated in some leagues and on the rise.

Devin Harris (Nets – PG)

With all the recent changes to the Nets organization from ownership on down, the team is hardly recognizable – which is exactly the look they’re going for. But there are still some familiar faces on the revamped roster who will be integral to the new-found success they seek.

Former All-Star Devin Harris is back in action. Devin has the speed and quickness to create transition opportunities on offense. If he can stay healthy this season he will log a lot of minutes and score points. And All-Star-to-be Brook Lopez will help out Harris in the assists column.

It will be interesting to see the relationship that Harris develops with new head coach Avery Johnson and whether he buys into Avery’s defensive philosophy. Ranked as low as 62, Devin is undervalued in some leagues so look to grab him in the 4th Round. When playing his best ball Devin ranks among the top point guards around.

Brandon Jennings (Bucks – PG)

Coming off a phenomenal rookie campaign in which he led the Bucks to the playoffs, Brandon Jennings is arguably more valuable than a 20th ranked point guard. Jennings started in all 82 games and proved he can get numbers.

In fact his first night out on the court as an NBA pro, Jennings wound up just one rebound and one assist shy of a triple double. Not to mention Jennings had a 55-point game against Golden State in November, setting the franchise rookie record.

The Bucks hope Jennings will come back more mature and physically stronger than in his rookie year. He appears to take a very serious approach to his game, which should spell good things for him down the road. The Bucks are a better team this year so they have more weapons to brandish. Joining forces with a healthy Michael Redd and Andrew Bogut, Jennings will add tremendous value in Round 5.

Joakim Noah (Bulls – C)

After signing a contract extension with the Bulls earlier this month, Joakim Noah can finally charge full steam ahead. He is a steadily improving player who has just scratched the surface of his potential.

Noah plays with an energy and passion you have to love. His offensive game is continuing to develop. He is complimented by power forward Carlos Boozer, and once Boozer is healthy it will free up easy buckets for Noah. Noah is also an excellent rebounder, and he can block shots.

If Noah’s plantar fasciitis does not affect him the way it did last year, I think his numbers will go up significantly. He is ranked 15th in the center pool but if he makes it to Round 4, consider it a steal.

Luis Scola (Rockets – PF, C)

A ferocious rebounder and defender, Luis Scola is now the best player on the court for Houston. Filling in for Yao last season he was able to gain experience and showcase his talent, putting up 44 points against the Nets. His scoring has improved over the last few seasons and he’s versatile enough to face up and get the 18-20 foot jumper.

Though Yao Ming has returned he will be playing reduced minutes so Scola will continue to put up points and grab rebounds in his fourth year with the Rockets. And with his workload lightened, Scola’s minutes should have more impact.

The Rockets will have to play well to make the playoffs in the competitive West this season, and I expect Scola to lead the charge – perhaps earning his first All-Star appearance along the way. Ranked anywhere from 60-80 overall in most leagues, I value him as an early third-round pick.

Blake Griffin (Clippers – PF)

Returning from a lost rookie year, Blake Griffin looks healthy and raring to go. He is as athletic as they come and has much to prove to the NBA.

Griffin is still considered a rookie, but he has no doubt learned a lot and gained valuable experience on the sidelines while recovering from his broken left kneecap. He has played very well in the exhibition season and has a legitimate shot at being a big-time contributor for the Clippers. Griffin will be their go-to guy and, as always, will rebound with the best of them.

You can probably get Griffin as a late pickup in many leagues because he is an unproven entity and you still have to worry about whether his knee will hold up under the rigors of the NBA schedule. So pick him in the 6th Round.

Fratello’s Fantasy Pick: Carlos Delfino

Photo by Gary Dineen/NBAE via Getty Images

Fifth in the East behind Atlanta, all engines have been firing for the Milwaukee Bucks since the All-Star break and their acquisition of guard John Salmons from Chicago. Back in December the Bucks dug themselves into a deep hole and by mid-January they had dropped to tenth behind New York and Chicago. But they’ve been on the up-and-up after All-Star, winning 14 of their last 16 games as they surge into the playoffs.

Carlos Delfino’s numbers have been climbing this month as well. After playing in Russia during 2008-09, I thought Delfino came back looking like a different player this season and indeed he’s made some great progress. In his first year with Milwaukee, he’s shooting 41.1% from the field and averaging a NBA career high 10.8 ppg. In addition to grabbing five boards, the Argentinean native is good for a steal and a couple assists per game.

Though Delfino was of action against the Clippers last week due to an ankle injury, he’s been going strong since his return to the court. Not only can Delfino put the ball on the floor and slash into the lane, but he’s a threat from the perimeter as well. He knocked down four 3-pointers en route to 21 total points and seven rebounds on Saturday night, bumping the Bucks to a 102-97 win over the Nuggets. Delfino has been a significant factor in his team’s success so far this season – I expect him to fight hard and finish strong down the home stretch too.

Fratello’s Fantasy Pick: Bet on Beno

Photo by Danny Bollinger/NBAE via Getty Images

The Sacramento Kings recently dealt guards Kevin Martin and Sergio Rodriguez to Houston and New York respectively, which opened the door for point guard Beno Udrih to return to the starting lineup.

Though he struggled from outside the arc last season, Udrih appears to have his confidence back. The Slovenian born lefty is up from 31% to 40% at the 3-point line and is averaging nearly 50% from the field, 84% from the free throw line.

So far Udrih has been effective at the helm and has contributed during his additional minutes. Since the trade his points, assists and rebounds are up. Last week Udrih averaged 14 ppg, topped by an energetic performance against the Mavs in which he racked up 20 points (including four 3-pointers) and six assists.

Udrih is a selective shooter with solid passing skills. He can hit threes and penetrate to the basket to compliment his strong mid-range game. Though the Kings are out of playoff contention, I expect Udrih to be productive in the final stretch and finish strong. He’ll have four opportunities to help his team this week starting Tuesday the ninth when the Kings battle the Blazers in Portland at 10:00 PM ET.

Fratello’s Fantasy Pick: Anderson Varejao

Photo by Ron Turenne/NBAE via Getty Images

After a shaky start the Cavaliers pulled out a win over the Celtics at the Garden last Thursday – their first in over three years. However they lost Shaq to a serious thumb injury in the second quarter and will have to fend without him for the remainder of the regular season. With Shaq and Z out of the mix, look for Anderson Varejao to log more minutes against opposing centers.

Perhaps underrated, Varejao is a good all-around player who does a little of everything and hustles to get a hand on the ball at critical moments. His quickness and aggressive defensive play were big factors in his team’s win over the Celts. Like a bird of prey, Varejao will suddenly swoop out of thin air to grab rebounds and tip boards.

And Varejao’s productivity has been steadily increasing ever since he first joined the Cavs in 2004. Last week he averaged 13 ppg and over 8 rebounds per game. His numbers don’t always fill out the box score, but fortunately for Cleveland the scrappy Varejao turns it out to fill the gaps when they need him most. So I expect he’ll continue to contribute and frustrate his opponents down the backstretch.