Fratello’s Fantasy Picks

Fratello’s Fantasy Pick: Evan Turner

Monday, March 19th, 2012

Copyright 2012 NBAE - Photo by Jesse D. Garrabrant/NBAE via Getty Images

The Philadelphia 76ers currently sit in fourth place in the Eastern Conference and lead the Atlantic Division. Basketball fans in the City of Brotherly Love are amped for a strong finish to the regular season and a meaningful playoff run after an impressive first-round exit courtesy of the Heatles in 2011.

SG/SF Evan Turner was inserted into coach Doug Collins’ starting lineup last week, and his numbers have exploded. Turner was the 2nd overall pick out of Ohio State in the 2010 NBA Draft. After struggling to adjust to the intense, super-speed, pro-level game in his rookie season, the 6’7” Buckeye and 2010 National Collegiate Player of The Year has seemingly found his groove.

In his rookie year Turner averaged 23 minutes per game, 7.2 ppg, 3.9 rpg and 2 apg. This compacted season, he’s averaging 25.6 minutes per game, 9 ppg, 6.1 rpg and 2.7 apg. However, Turner put up serious ‘growth’ numbers in Philly’s nine March contests: 13.1 ppg, 8.3 rpg and 3.1 apg in 33.1 minutes. Even better, in his last six games Turner has improved to 17.6 ppg, 9.1 rpg, 3.5 apg and 37.5 minutes per game.

Obviously, Coach Collins and Turner’s teammates have developed more trust and confidence in the 2nd-year wing player, and he is taking full advantage of his opportunity. Turner’s on-court production is finally catching up to his high basketball IQ. And after receiving a lot of flack (as did the 76ers organization) for his lack of numbers last season, Turner has ‘turned’ the corner and become a player you have to account for in transition and in half-court sets.

Look for Evan Turner’s numbers and fantasy value to continue on an upward trajectory now that he is a no-doubt, full-time starter for the first time in his burgeoning career.

Fratello’s Fantasy Pick: Brandon Bass

Monday, March 12th, 2012

Copyright NBAE 2011 - Photo by Issac Baldizon/NBAE via Getty ImagesThe Boston Celtics currently occupy the seventh spot in the Eastern Conference with close to two-thirds of the compacted 66-game schedule complete. At some point in recent weeks each of the storied Green’s ‘Big 4’ of Pierce, Garnett, Allen and Rondo has been mentioned in potential trades.

GM Danny Ainge has been active behind the scenes in determining whether he should move one of his key players in order to inject fresh blood into the aging roster or let the C’s stand pat and make one last run with their once championship core.

Either way, 1st-year Celtic F Brandon Bass will be a key component of coach Doc Rivers’ plans down the stretch and into the postseason. The 26-year-old, 6’8”, 255 lb. Bass is in his seventh season out of LSU, where in 2005 he was named SEC Player of the Year as a sophomore.

Bass is averaging 29.7 minutes per game, 11.7 ppg, 5.5 rpg this season – all career highs. The tough, hardworking forward started the season putting up big scoring numbers. In four December contests he averaged 15.3 ppg and had one game of 20 points and 11 boards.

Bass has been a consistent front-line contributor for the team. Outside of a stretch in mid-February when he experienced swelling in his left knee and sat out the six games prior to the All-Star break, Bass has been night-in and night-out the most scoring-minded player on Boston’s second unit. He’s most often the first guy off the bench and in recent weeks has been inserted into the starting lineup due to injuries.

Starting C Jermaine O’Neal has missed the past nine games with a sprained right wrist and may be out for the season. And veteran PF Chris Wilcox will be out indefinitely because of a recent heart exam that showed a potential abnormality. Add to this the possibility that one or more of the ‘Big 4’ may be dealt in the next 72 hours and Bass’ role, minutes and expectations increase dramatically.

So far in March, Bass has averaged 30.8 minutes per game. And even if the C’s stick with their current roster, that number will certainly rise as Doc Rivers begins resting 17th-year Garnett, 14th-year Pierce and 16th-year Ray Allen for the stretch run and likely playoffs.

With virtually no training camp and preseason due to the lockout, Bass and other players switching teams in the offseason had hasty and frenzied introductions to new systems and schemes. With each passing day, players like Brandon Bass become more acclimated to their new environments and further integrated into their teams’ rotations, so look for Bass’ production to steadily increase.

Fratello’s Fantasy Pick: Luke Ridnour

Monday, March 5th, 2012

Copyright 2011 NBAE - Photo by Jordan Johnson/NBAE via Getty ImagesIn this compacted, 66-game season every contest is vital for Minnesota’s hopes of qualifying for the playoffs for the first time in eight long seasons. Under coach Rick Adelman, the Timberwolves have compiled a 19-19 record up to this point in the ultra-competitive Western Conference and sit 1.5 games behind the Denver Nuggets for the eighth seed.

With J.J. Barea’s first year as a member of the Wolves marred by nagging injuries and 21-year-old Spanish sensation Ricky Rubio slowing down a bit in both points and dimes in the past 5 weeks, there exists a strong possibility that coach Adelman and staff will rely more heavily on playoff-tested Luke Ridnour in the second half of this night-in-night-out grind of a season.

Lucas ‘Luke’ Ridnour, a 9th-year PG out of the University of Oregon, has started in 36 of the Wolves 38 games so far. Last season was Ridnour’s first as a Twin Cities baller. The 14th overall pick of the 2003 NBA Draft averaged career-highs in 2010-2011 with 11.8 ppg and .44 3P%.

This season the former Duck has upped his minutes to 31.5 per game, even with 2009 pick PG Rubio entering the league this year and the signing of veteran lead guard Barea in the offseason. Although Ridnour’s production this campaign versus last is down a tad, in recent weeks he has stepped up his game and stat totals. Ridnour played 43 minutes and had 15 points, 8 dimes and 3 steals in the Wolves’ loss at Phoenix on March 1.

As teams continue to key on superstar PF Kevin Love to stop the Wolves, the perimeter shooters like Ridnour, with a record of success from 23’9” and beyond, will be open more often for the impactful long-ball. As the Wolves fight and claw to gain entry to the 2012 postseason, a player such as Luke Ridnour, with a history of a good assist-to-turnover ratio, will be a solid, valuable presence on the floor for Minnesota.

Fratello’s Fantasy Pick: Gustavo Ayon

Monday, February 27th, 2012

With the New Orleans Hornets looking to deal Chris Kaman before the NBA’s March 15th trade deadline, 6-10 power forward Gustavo Ayon will be one to watch in the upcoming weeks.

Coming out of the 2012 All-Star Break, the Hornets have the third worst record in the 30-team league. They epitomize a professional sports franchise in transition on many levels. Owned and essentially operated by the Commissioner’s office, New Orleans traded away their best player PG extraordinaire Chris Paul to the LA Clippers at the start of the season and have been publicly shopping several key players in order to revamp their roster and create cap space for the long run.

Add to this basketball kettle a slew of injuries to key players, and you have an environment where untested and younger members of the roster have a chance to show coach Monty Williams that they belong on the floor. In 26-year-old, internationally-seasoned rookie Gustavo Ayon, the Hornets have a big man who has been getting increasing court time and upping his production due to the aforementioned circumstances.

A proud son of Tepic, Nayarit, Mexico, Ayon played professionally in the Mexican and Spanish Leagues before signing with New Orleans in 2011, and he has been the starting center on the Mexican National Team since 2007. During his first couple months with the Hornets, Ayon only averaged 11.4 mpg, 3.1 FG attempts per game, 2.7 rpg and 4.4 ppg. However, with injuries sidelining bigs Carl Landry and Emeka Okafor and with Kaman’s name being mentioned constantly in legit trade talks, Ayon started playing and contributing a lot more in February. So far this month, he’s more than doubled his minutes played with 25.3 per game as well as grabbing 7.7 rpg, scoring 7.5 ppg and putting up 6 FG per contest.

In addition, Ayon saw 30 minutes of court time per game and had two double-doubles in his last six showings. And he pulled down 17 boards to go with 9 points, 4 dimes, a block and 2 steals in NO’s 89-84 win over Cleveland before the All-Star break. Coach Monty Williams is notoriously tough on his big men, and it can be deduced that Ayon’s rise in minutes in part is due to a new found trust and belief in this 26-year old rookie.

Fratello’s Fantasy Pick: Ersan Ilyasova

Monday, February 20th, 2012

Ersan Ilyasova crashed the boards and made big shots for the Bucks on Sunday. The 6-10, fourth-year forward from Turkey had career highs of 29 points and 25 rebounds in Milwaukee’s 92-85 win over the Nets.

Now in his second stint with Milwaukee, Ilasova is one of five international players on their roster, which also includes Beno Udrih from Slovenia, Luc Mbah a Moute from Cameroon, Carlos Delfino from Argentina and Andrew Bogut from Australia. Selected by the Bucks in the second round of the 2005 NBA Draft, Ilasova spent his first season with their affiliated D-League team, the Tulsa 66ers, and made his NBA debut on November 1, 2006. After playing with Liga ACB club FC Barcelona the subsequent two seasons, Ilasova resigned with the Bucks in 2009.

Last year it looked like llasova was on the verge of breaking through and raising his game to the next level. However, he didn’t bust out of the gates this season the way some people expected, perhaps because of the lockout-induced late start to the season and abbreviated training camp.

Ilyasova is able to play at both the 3 and 4 positions. He can run the floor. He’s a good shooter who is capable of stringing 3-point shots together. And he is a tenacious offensive rebounder, giving fantasy owners double-double potential. Ilyasova has averaged 14 points and 12 rebounds in his last 10 contests.

Ersan Ilyasova will continue to log significant minutes in the absence of center Andrew Bogut, who is expected to be out with a fractured left ankle until at least early April. We’ll have to see if Ilyasova can maintain his momentum beyond the All-Star break. Before hosting this weekend’s festivities, Dwight Howard and the Orlando Magic will pay a visit to Brew City on George Washington’s birthday to play the Bucks in the first of two games scheduled for Milwaukee before the mid-season recess.